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TigerU.com Forum Index -> LSU Football Message Board
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Adam
Veteran Poster
Joined: Apr 19, 2003
Posts: 667
Points : 196
Location: Baton Rouge via West Monroe
Status: Offline
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 Posted:
Mon Aug 30, 2004 2:28 pm
Post subject: Week 01 - Adam's rankings - the real deal |
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I drafted this formula last year using Excel (congrats to Adam's national champ, LSU), and of course I'm using it again this year. Here's the formula:- Only wins vs. 1A teams count. All losses count.
- 3/5 w/l %
- 3/10 opponents' w/l %
- 3/20 opponents' opponents' w/l %
- -.1 for every loss to a lower-division opponent.
- At this point, a team has a subtotal. If the team has beaten someone with >.70000 as a subtotal (any year will have between 10 and 20 such teams), add 1/3 of the difference to the team's subtotal. For example, if LSU (.65000) has beaten Florida (.79000), LSU then adds .09000/3 (.03000) to get their rating of .68000.
- Multiply by 1000 to make it look cooler
Here are my rankings right now (a team is not ranked until it either a) plays a 1A team, or b) loses to a lower-division team):- Southern California 750.00
- Virginia Tech 300.00
I will be updating these every week. Also, about a month from now, I'll put my conference rankings up.
Last edited by Adam on Mon Sep 06, 2004 5:19 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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Norris
Mr. Negative Nancy
Joined: May 12, 2004
Posts: 736
Points : 370
Location: the N.O.
Status: Offline
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Posted:
Mon Aug 30, 2004 2:38 pm
Post subject: |
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USC sucked the other night. Teams that are number 1 in the country should be penalized if they play like shit and barely squeak out a win against an unranked team that had a terrible defense last year. Work that in to your formula.
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Adam
Veteran Poster
Joined: Apr 19, 2003
Posts: 667
Points : 196
Location: Baton Rouge via West Monroe
Status: Offline
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Posted:
Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:49 pm
Post subject: |
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| allison wrote: | | Sounds like someone has too much time on their hands, eh? |
You don't know the half of it. I've been implementing my formula for all the years of college football starting with Princeton/Rutgers in 1969. I'm up to 1941 now (congrats to national champ Minnesota). So far, the team that is "officially" crowned the national champ is my #1 about 80% of the time.
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Adam
Veteran Poster
Joined: Apr 19, 2003
Posts: 667
Points : 196
Location: Baton Rouge via West Monroe
Status: Offline
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Posted:
Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:52 pm
Post subject: |
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| Norris wrote: | | USC sucked the other night. Teams that are number 1 in the country should be penalized if they play like shit and barely squeak out a win against an unranked team that had a terrible defense last year. Work that in to your formula. |
I probably won't do this because it would take WAAAAAAAY too much time, but there could be a factor where you calculate how many quarters of the game a team trails. I think USC trailed for two quarters--they could be penalized for that.
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alex2
Veteran Poster
Joined: Sep 17, 2003
Posts: 476
Points : 0
Status: Offline
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Posted:
Mon Aug 30, 2004 8:27 pm
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| Adam wrote: | | allison wrote: | | Sounds like someone has too much time on their hands, eh? |
You don't know the half of it. I've been implementing my formula for all the years of college football starting with Princeton/Rutgers in 1969. I'm up to 1941 now (congrats to national champ Minnesota). So far, the team that is "officially" crowned the national champ is my #1 about 80% of the time. |
This is the shit.
You can never have enough time to do things like this.
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Adam
Veteran Poster
Joined: Apr 19, 2003
Posts: 667
Points : 196
Location: Baton Rouge via West Monroe
Status: Offline
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Posted:
Mon Aug 30, 2004 8:39 pm
Post subject: |
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| alex2 wrote: | | Adam wrote: | | allison wrote: | | Sounds like someone has too much time on their hands, eh? |
You don't know the half of it. I've been implementing my formula for all the years of college football starting with Princeton/Rutgers in 1969. I'm up to 1941 now (congrats to national champ Minnesota). So far, the team that is "officially" crowned the national champ is my #1 about 80% of the time. |
This is the shit.
You can never have enough time to do things like this. |
Funny thing about it--about midway through last year I figured I could use Excel to do this and make it quite simple, and right before the LSU/UF game, LSU was my #1, and Arkansas was my #2. Both were undefeated with quality wins (UGA, Texas). I think both teams lost that very weekend. I thought I'd ruined football.
In February I started with 1869, and a normal year, what with the job and The Family Dinner and all, takes me about a week to calculate.
I can't wait to get to 1958 
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